Banking Stocks Find Favour With Mutual Funds
Mutual funds (MFs) are showing more confidence in banks and continue to increase their exposure to their stocks. Public and private sectorbanks have attracted the largest exposure from MFs in December, analysis shows. The move has been triggered by better earnings outlook and bond yield movements, according to observers.
Fund houses’ exposure to banking stocks stood at over Rs 17,541 crore in the month with market value growing by 15.4% over the previous month. State Bank of India, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank were among those that witnessed the largest change in market value, growing 29%, 30% and 28% respectively during the period, data compiled by HDFC Securities shows.
The third quarter would see strong earnings growth and “windfall gains’’ for banks driven by bond yield movements, according to Ajay Parmar, head, research, Emkay Global Financial Services. As interest rates continue to fall, bond yields have moved down by 280 bps during the quarter across maturities.
“Earnings of PSU banks could outperform estimates driven by mark-to-market and actual treasury gains,’’ Parmar noted. The volume growth also has remained strong with bank credit for the quarter up to December 19 growing 24.5% on a yearon-year (y-o-y) basis. The credit-deposit ratio too remained stable during the quarter at 74.5% compared to 73% achieved during the second quarter.
However, PSU banks are seeing pressure on net interest margins (NIMs) as they have reduced lending rates by 150 bps while deposit rates have come down only by 50-75 bps. NIMs and asset quality continue to remain key concerns.
“We have to ensure that the quality of assets doesn’t deteriorate. We are focusing on accessing low cost deposits and improving lending,’’ said V A Joseph, MD and CEO of the South Indian Bank.
“The difference in e pace of cut in lending and deposit rates and camouflaging of asset quality behind restructuring are the key problems facing banks,’’ Parmar said in his research note






